For the successful sovereigns, a new age has dawned. You must learn to accept failure. Things might get ugly for the fourth governor in a row on election day.
Because Salzburg's governor, Wilfried Haslauer, the "sir" among the nine heads of state, is afraid of losing the election. The Salzburg state elections, which went unnoticed for a long time, have evolved into the most fascinating election of the year. On election night, two issues will dominate: Wilfried Haslauer will form a coalition with whom? Will the election of FP top candidate Marlene Svazek bring Herbert Kickl closer to becoming chancellor?
The Blues are in for a landslide. For the first time, a jump beyond the 20% threshold seemed assured. But how far over 20% will Svazek go? Experts in Salzburg feel that a head-to-head competition between the VP and the FP is feasible. For the first time, the SP will fall to third position.
"The difference between the VP and the FP is now 19 percent." It will be in the low single digits. According to political expert Thomas Hofer, the 37.8 percent for the VP in the previous election in 2018 was primarily attributable to the Kurz effect. The Salzburg election, like the one in Lower Austria, might be a reckoning with the Corona policy. There was a poor vaccination rate in Flachgau, for example.
Every electoral triumph motivates Kickl to run for chancellor in the 2024 National Council election. The internal party criticism that no one wants to create a coalition with the Kickl-FP has died away. "In Lower Austria, the taboo was broken. Kickl, on the other hand, need a coalition partner for the Chancellery. "It's in a different league," Hofer adds.
The establishment of a coalition in Salzburg will be intriguing in light of these chances. Haslauer has broken ties with the FP. In theory, he has more freedom than Johanna Mikl-Leitner. Lower Austria has a proportional representation system in place. In Salzburg, no. Haslauer can also bring in minor parties to form a coalition. In this regard, VP with SP might be an option.
Source: Ida Butcher / Krone.at