The Gabriel Boric administration suffered a defeat, which threw the political board into disarray. There will be reshuffles in the cabinet, and a new consensus will be sought, with Congress playing an important part in this process.
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| [The Chilean Parliament] |
After the overwhelming triumph of Rejection, the chess pieces in Chilean politics have been pushed about. A breaking point has been reached for the administration as well as for all of the political parties, who are presently considering how to adjust to this new moment of negotiation and societal uncertainty in light of the overwhelming support that the public have shown for this choice.
This past weekend, Chile conducted the mandatory referendum that was required to determine whether the constitutional proposal that was produced by the now-defunct body of the Constitutional Convention should be approved or rejected. In spite of the fact that the polls had predicted a close result, the actual outcome was significantly different: 62% of the country favored rejecting the text, while only 38% were in favor of approving it.
The political establishment and the government in general were taken aback by the unexpected choice made by the people, as they had not anticipated a situation in which such huge percentages of people would vote in favor of Rejection. Winners and losers were determined as a result of all of this scenario, and both sets of winners and losers will need to reevaluate their choices and stances before the subsequent round of institutional discussions.
The center-left and the sectors of the center, in general, are among the groups that are in a better position as a result of the triumph of the Rejection. Tomás Duval, a political analyst at the University of the Autonomous, said in an interview with Emol.com that "those who were part of the previous Concertación and today were part of the Rejection option, they are the primary protagonists in this outcome, there is no mistake about it." As we look to the future, the Democratic Socialist Party has a stronger challenge and has the potential to become an articulating axis between the opposition parties, Chile Vamos, and the party that is now in power. There is a really fascinating axis that has the potential to be a source of profit for that.
The circumstances necessary for the center to develop stronger have been met with the triumph of the Rejection. " The circumstances are provided to begin to offer and promote a center option or strengthen a political center, since the center had been blurred and delimited significantly," noted Duval. " The conditions are given to begin to propose and promote a center option or enhance a political center."
Particularly today, after Chile made the decision to reject the constitutional proposal with 62% of the votes, it is not a favorable time for the sectors that demonstrate extremist ideals in the nation, such as the Communist Party and the Republican Party. " I believe that they are apart from others. According to Duval, several parties affiliated with the FA (Broad Front) will need to engage in some form of self-reflection in light of the events that took place on this past Sunday. "My impression is that the maximalisms, the most extreme or radical positions were left aside in this process and in an overwhelming way," said Duval.
Isabel Castillo, an academic from the Faculty of Government at the University of Chile and a COES researcher, expressed the same opinion. She stated that " the most maximalist sectors of the left are more challenged, in more institutional terms by the Communist Party, and particularly by the independent sectors." It is probable that, if they continue to maintain the difficult stance of not criticizing themselves, they will become a bit more isolated. This is due to the fact that the position they are maintaining is not the one that the President supports.
Because Chile is entering a new political era, the country's federal government will soon be required to revamp its ministerial work team. Long before the national plebiscite was held, President Boric had already begun to mull over this idea in response to the consistent criticism that La Moneda received for its handling of a variety of issues, such as the Chilean Mapuche conflict in the southern region of the country. This criticism was brought on by the fact that La Moneda was the seat of government at the time.
The voices of the analysts believe that in the near future, in order for Boric to strengthen the ministerial team, he will most likely resort to characters from the Christian Democracy (DC) as a way to continue with the government program and with the political negotiations. This belief is based on the fact that the voices of the analysts believe that Boric is likely to resort to characters from the DC in order to strengthen the ministerial team
In addition, according to the analysts, this change in the cabinet should be significant because it is necessary for the country to understand that the government has understood the message that was communicated with the victory of the Rejection. This message was communicated with the help of the victory of the Rejection.
The political compromise that Chile will hopefully be able to strike in the next several days will have to be approved by the country's parliamentary body. Because of this, it is that at the meeting that took place this past Monday between the president of the Lower House, Ral Soto, and the president of the Senate, lvaro Elizalde, along with President Boric, it was made clear how important this body would be moving forward.
According to Elizalde, Boric " has asked us to develop a dialogue in the National Congress that allows establishing an institutional path to advance in the constituent process," and that "together with the president of the Chamber we will convene this week all the parties with representation parliamentary, to the benches, and we will also listen to other social movements and representatives of civil society, in order to promote a dialogue that allows us to transmit certs," which means that Boric " has asked us to develop a dialogue in the National Congress that
In the meantime, the Chilean deputy Soto reaffirmed his call for a reunification of the parties in the country "that enables us to lay the foundations for a process of enabling a new roadmap for constitutional change," and he stated that "this agreement must be rooted in the talks that will begin in the coming days in the National Congress." "The Chamber of Deputies and the Senate are going to work together, in close coordination and cooperation with the Executive," Soto said.