There is no way out, at least in the near term. Especially in the center-south, temperatures will remain high until late July.
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| [Heatwave hits Italy hard, June 28, 2022] |
It is pointless to try to fool ourselves, because there are scorching days ahead of us. The heat wave warning issued by the Ministry of Health forecasts that the highest emergency level, often known as the "red dot," would be reached on Wednesday, June 29 in 19 of the total 27 municipalities that are monitored. On Thursday, the number of cities shown in red will increase to 22 out of the total of 27. Genoa, Bolzano, and Turin are the only cities that will be rescued (in part).
In a nutshell, it will be really warm. When can we possibly anticipate receiving any relief from the heat? The incoming news is not encouraging in any way. In no way does it. There are no indications that the current plan will be altered in any way. The analysts at 3BMeteo are unequivocal in their assessment, stating that "in the short and medium term there are no substantial breakouts in the scenario." The temperature will remain quite high. In point of fact, "in sight for the next week there will be"
Things are becoming much worse. In this context, it is also necessary to mention that showers and thunderstorms are helping to cool the air a little bit in the north. This is a situation that will also occur again at the beginning of July when the northern regions will be lapped by Atlantic currents; however, this time it will be repeated in a different context. In the plains, particularly in the districts of Triveneto and Emilia Romagna, both the air and the ground will continue to be quite hot, and the temperatures will reach very high levels.
Whereas in the remaining areas of the peninsula? As we have said before, there will be very little change in the near term: we will have little choice but to accept the sweltering heat of these recent days. The second week of July offers a glimmer of a chance for improvement. In point of fact, the meteorologists of 3BMeteo say that a "unbalanced in the Atlantic" Azores anticyclone might result in some storms in the Central South as well as a general decrease in temperatures. This is a trend that should be monitored throughout the medium to long term and approached with extreme care. In point of fact, with extreme care. In any event, it would only provide a little reprieve from the oppressive heat that was prevalent.
According to the explanations given by meteorologists, a decline in temperature would need the anticyclone now centered over Africa to be replaced by one centered over the Azores. However, a setting that is very like to this one may often be seen "around the latter part of August." It is true that this year the summer began quite a bit earlier than usual, so at least there is some justification for optimism. In spite of this, the available empirical evidence suggests that the oppressive heat will persist for a few more weeks, possibly being broken up by a smattering of storms in the northern hemisphere and, possibly (although this latter trend is yet to be confirmed), by an unstable impulse that might reach the center-south region only in the second week of July.