China does not wish to fight India since it had a more powerful enemy in the United States of America.
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| [MD Mahmud Hasan/Europeans24] |
With the current disputes between India and Pakistan, China has, as usual, exacerbated border tensions along the de facto control line all the way to the Himalayas, which Indian media characterizes as an invasion. Following the Sino-Indian border conflict in 2017, also referred to as the Doklam Plateau dispute. Because of the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic and the nature of the disagreement, this new border conflict is more broader and more strategic.
This should be viewed in the context of China's continuous military and economic resurgence, as well as its strategic neighbor conflicts. The border battle in Ladakh has begun, despite the fact that both India and China deny provocation. As a result of the border issue, these two Asian behemoths have gone to war. Thousands of troops were deployed to the east of Ladakh along the Sino-Indian border between the two countries, according to The Guardian on May 27, 2020. Several Chinese jet fighters have already been stationed at a newly constructed air facility in the disputed border area. Military conflicts occurred between these countries as early as June 1.
Donald Trump stated that the United States is prepared to intervene in this conflict, but China would vehemently oppose US engagement, as it does in South and Southeast Asia. The recent warming of India's relations with the United States poses a serious threat to China, which is encircled by strategic adversaries such as Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, and, eventually, India. And now there's a chance that the United States would recognize Tibet as an independent entity, which would be critical for China.
However, it appears that New Delhi would reject Trump's offer, as it did with the previous release in Kashmir. Because India understands that if Trump is given the go-ahead, South Asia would become more chaotic than it has ever been. As a result of the chaos, proxy warfare is activated.
China does not wish to fight India since it had a more powerful enemy in the United States of America. However, while observing India's westward movement (mostly in terms of weapon imports), I was reminded of China, and the following is the consequence. Surprisingly, Indian defense and strategic specialists conceal this rationale for defending Chinese territories recovering a historic disputed area that resulted in a brief but deadly war in 1962.
China is dissatisfied with India's new projects on its side of the de facto control line. India has started constructing new infrastructure in the region to improve the movement of civilians and border guards. China has its own strategic values, but why is it doing this now, when the coronavirus pandemic has halted all building in India? This response may be sufficient to address the present issue. Isn't this the ideal time for China to begin carrying out its plan in the face of the COVID-19 epidemic, when the world's emphasis is on preserving its own lives and economy?
India's diplomatic profile is hazy, making it impossible to determine who is his true buddy and who, at the time, has a distinct personality. India now maintains a delicate balance between Russia and the United States, which is a risky game.
And the world will see who India is dealing with as a result of this dispute. Russia is a great friend for both China and India, but it always prioritizes China because Russia, like India, needs China both economically and politically. Russia, on the other hand, would continue to oppose continuing defense deals between India and Russia. Moscow may simply express an interest in serving as a mediator in the same way that Washington does.
According to Ajay Shukla, an Indian military analyst, China is attempting to divert India's focus away from Tibet and onto Ladakh. India secretly desired to include Tibet in its borders so that it could easily resist China, while the United States wants Tibet to become an independent country. This is how the United States and India want to deal with China, however India's strategy will fail owing to a lack of resources and expertise in finding such difficult job. As a result, New Delhi can concentrate its efforts on assisting the United States in carrying out its strategy, which would benefit both countries. However, the Ladakh disagreement serves as a strong warning to India that if it tries to shut Tibet off from China, it would face retaliation, China can do a lot with India and it is just the beginning.
Nepal, which was formerly considered a close ally of India, is also putting pressure on the country. When Nepal annexed the territory to its territorial map, the 22-year-old Kalapani issue reached its pinnacle. K.P. Sharma Oli, the current Prime Minister of Nepal and a member of the Socialist Party, is close friends with Xi Jinping. In response to Nepal's daring action, India's army chief, Manoj Narawane, claimed that someone was feeding Nepal from behind. It is aimed squarely at China.
Why are India's neighbors, including its ally Nepal, turning against it? There are a few factors that should be addressed as the primary causes of these occurrences. In reality, India does not treat its allies with much respect. Although India is lucky to have a loyal neighbor in Bangladesh, this has created unfavorable feeling among the people of Bangladesh, Nepal, and Sri Lanka, which is critical for India.
India now has to contend with China, Nepal, and Pakistan on three fronts. If China is serious about keeping the Ladakh dispute alive, it will provoke Myanmar to escalate tensions on the India-Burma border. So it's just a matter of time until we find out what will happen next.
The author MD Mahmud Hasan is a student at Department Of Criminology, University Of Dhaka.